Can Earthquakes be Predicted with Astrology?

I must say that when I read in old texts on mundane astrology that earthquakes are predictable by astrological means, I am very skeptical.  If earthquakes could be predicted with any accuracy and reliability, we would not be surprised by the horrific stories of loss of life in quakes and tsunamis year after year.  A tiny crack appeared in my skepticism recently when I read that astrologer Richard Nolle had at least predicted a likely period for earthquakes in 2013 with his “supermoon” technique.

In scientific terms a supermoon is a full moon that occurs when the moon is at or very close  to perigree, its closest approach to the earth in its monthly cycle.  Because it is closer to the earth, the full moon of the “supermoon” appears significantly larger than average.  A handy calculator for the Moon’s apogee (further distance) and perigee can be found at  On this site you can easily see that a Full Moon occurs on 2013 May 25 and the moon’s perigee occurs on May 26 at 1:46 when the moon is 358374 km away from the earth.  When the moon reaches apogee on June  9 at 21:41 it will be 406486 km distant.  Nolle uses the period immediately surrounding the supermoon (in this case 25 May 2013 give or take a few days) to predict earthquakes and other mundane events.

In fact, a major earthquake did occur in the South Pacific as the supermoon was approaching.  On Thursday afternoon, 23 May 2013 here in the USA, a magnitude-7.4 earthquake struck about 175 miles southwest of Tonga island and about 450 miles southeast of Fiji.  This earthquake followed a 6.5 magnitude quake that occurred twelve days earlier near Tonga island on 11 May 2013  about 218 miles northwest of the capital, Nuku’alofa.  Unfortunately for the supermoon theory, the earlier quake occurred very close to the moon’s apogee or furthest distance from the earth on May 13 at 13:32 at a distance of 405826 km.  Because the two quakes were so close in time and location, they were probably part of the same shifting of tectonic plates near Tonga.  One occurred two days after the moon’s apogee and the other occurred two days before the moon’s perigee, so it’s hard to see a pattern in the moon’s distance from the earth triggering a quake.

Intrigued by the idea of earthquake prediction, I went back and read Raphael’s 1910 volume on mundane astrology in which he devotes several paragraphs to earthquakes.  Raphael pays special attention to ingress charts, eclipses, lunations on the IC, 4th house planets and the conjunctions of the planets Mars through Neptune (he didn’t know about Pluto in 1910) in making earthquake predictions.  Raphael gives two examples in which the chart for the conjunction of Mars to an outer planet at the location of the quake was predictive.

With Raphael in mind, I noticed that a Mars/Uranus conjunction occurred on March 23rd shortly after the Aries ingress of the sun.  I wondered if the chart for this conjunction cast for Tonga would be predictive of a Mars/Uranus event, such as an earthquake.  Theoretically the conjunction should fall on an angle, especially the IC, to have such significance.  Here is the chart for this conjunction.

Mars/Uranus conjunction in Tonga 23 March 2013, just after the Aries Ingress and preceding the May 2013 earthquakes.

Mars/Uranus conjunction in Tonga 23 March 2013, just after the Aries Ingress and preceding the May 2013 earthquakes.

The chart was quite surprising and made me think that maybe Raphael was on to something.  The Mars/Uranus conjunction falls almost exactly on the ASC.  Pluto (which Raphael did not know about) conjoins the MC and squares the Mars/Uranus conjunction.  Saturn conjoins the 8th house cusp.  No doubt Raphael would have seen an impeding earthquake or other natural disaster looming in the chart during the springtime.

I did not have time to look at all the factors Raphael considers in earthquake prediction, but this chart was quite impressive.  It is probably significant that these two earthquakes (of May 11 and May 23) occurred during the period when the following astrological events took place:

10 May 2013:  Solar eclipse at 19 Taurus 31.

21 May 2013:  Uranus square Pluto from 11 Aries 14 to 11 Capricorn 14.

25 May 2013:  Lunar eclipse at 4 Sagittarius 08.

About Anthony Louis

Author of books about astrology and tarot, including TAROT PLAIN AND SIMPLE, HORARY ASTROLOGY, and THE ART OF FORECASTING WITH SOLAR RETURNS.
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7 Responses to Can Earthquakes be Predicted with Astrology?

  1. There was another quake in the Sea of Okhotsk in Russia. May 24, 2013 (Fri) 5:44:49 am UT 0.:00 54N52’12”, 153E20’02” (21 Libra Ascendant). So much to learn, so little time. Thank you for posting this !!

    • Thanks for the comment. I agree with you that there is so much to learn and so little time. One reason I do this blog is to record ideas that interest me at the time. Otherwise I’m likely to forget them.


      • Ema Kurent says:

        Hi Tony, how do you deal with the fact that Mars “sits” upon the same degree and minute for some, say, half an hour? Do you trust the software calculation of the “exact” time? I I think that Solar Fire takes the middle portion of the whole time period but what reason do we have to “trust” this. Wouldn’t the first minute that a conjucntion becomes exact, be a more reasonable “legal” time of the conjunction? That’s what bothers me with those mundane aspects. The case that you presented is very interesting but for the theory to hold water, at least 10 such “coincidences” should be researched and confirmed.(Pardon my English I’m not a native speaker).

      • Ema,

        I agree that a single chart does not prove a theory.
        Regarding the calculation of an exact aspect, my understanding is that Solar Fire uses the moment when the centers of the two planets occupy the same point as their movement is measured along the ecliptic.
        According to Solar Fire, at 7:17:19 AM in Tonga, both Mars and Uranus had an eclipltic longitude of 8 Aries 7’49’.
        One minute earlier, at 7:16:19 AM, Mars was at 8 Aries 7’47” and Uranus as 8 Aries 7’49’.
        One minute later, at 7:18:19 AM, Mars was at at 8 Aries 7’51” and Uranus as 8 Aries 7’49’.
        You may have in mind how Solar Fire measures eclipses. My preference is to cast a chart for an eclipse using the exact lunar phase.


  2. Ema Kurent says:

    Thank you Tony for your clear explanation. My understanding of the calculations is the same but I can’t check this because I can’t get the program to show me seconds, not only minutes of arc. To be more precise, when I “animate” the chart I see Mars “standing” at the same degree and minute for half an hour. This is the reason why I’m having trouble to time/locate the current Mars/Algol conjunction. I know that Algol is at 26 degrees 21 minutes and 5 seconds but I can’t calculate the exact time of the conjunction of the two bodies because I don’t have the seconds for Mars. Hope you understand. As for the eclipses, I use the exact lunar phase too, for personal as well as mundane purposes. But there’s no problem with that, SF is very user-friendly in that purpose, and the Moon is very quick anyway…..

  3. rohit says:

    Can u come out with calculations for 26dec 2004 earthquake in indonesia and another 2011 japan tsunami earthquake

  4. Harry Peterson says:

    Earthquake in Japan (near Honshu) 25 October 2013 – a synoptical Astrology Chart with the position of Comet ISON …

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